Factor Olympics Q2 2022 

And the winner is…

July 2022. Reading Time: 10 Minutes. Author: Nicolas Rabener.

SUMMARY

  • Value is the clear winner of YTD 2022
  • Value, Momentum, and Low Volatility factors were positively correlated, which changed to previous years
  • The Quality factor performed worst, which can be explained by a bias towards tech stocks

INTRODUCTION

We present the performance of five well-known factors on an annual basis for the last 10 years. Specifically, we only present factors where academic research supports the existence of positive excess returns across market cycles and asset classes (read Factor Olympics Q1 2022). 

METHODOLOGY

Our factors are created by constructing long-short beta-neutral portfolios of the top and bottom 10% of stocks in the US, Europe, and Japan, and 20% in smaller markets. Only stocks with a minimum market capitalization of $1 billion are included. Portfolios rebalance monthly and transactions incur 10 basis points of costs. 

FACTOR OLYMPICS: GLOBAL RETURNS

The table below shows the long-short factor performance for the last 10 years ranked top to bottom. The global series is comprised of all developed markets in Asia, Europe, and the US. Aside from displaying the factor performance, the analysis highlights the significant factor rotation in terms of profitability from one year to the next, highlighting the benefits of diversified exposure (try Finominal’s Alpha Analyzer for a factor exposure analysis).

The performance of an equal-weighted multi-factor portfolio was positive as of the first half of 2022, where most of the performance can be attributed to the Value factor. Three out of five factors we highlight generated positive returns and there was no significant negative contributor, making this year one of the best years in recent history for factor investing.